Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
5 - 5
Utrecht

Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), de Wit (70')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), van de Streek (80')
Viergever (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 AZ
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar are firing on all cylinders at the moment, and it is hard to envisage any other result rather than a home victory. That said, we expect FC Utrecht to put up a decent fight, giving rise to an absorbing affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
59.12% ( -0.01)	20.66% ( 0)	20.21% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.04% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

36.89% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

59.06% (

-0)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.76% (

-0)

12.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.06% (

-0)

37.94%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41% (

31.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.01% (

67.99% (

-0)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 59.12%

FC Utrecht 20.21%

Draw 20.66%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.15% Total : 59.12%	1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 20.21%