MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:33:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
3 - 1
Sittard

de Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yilmaz (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

On the back of holding PSV, Sittard will have every confidence that they can do the same with AZ. However, sense an opportunity to capitalise on Feyenoord and Ajax playing each other this weekend, we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
69.55% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 18% (0.221 0.22) 12.45% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-1.323 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-1.472 -1.47)39.71% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-1.547 -1.55)62.07% (1.548 1.55)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (-0.41 -0.41)10.31% (0.4101 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.27% (-0.94099999999999 -0.94)33.73% (0.942 0.94)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (-1.209 -1.21)42.89% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-1.038 -1.04)79.2% (1.04 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.54%
    Fortuna Sittard 12.45%
    Draw 18%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.54%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.155 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
Apr 25, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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