Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Fortuna Sittard
On the back of holding PSV, Sittard will have every confidence that they can do the same with AZ. However, sense an opportunity to capitalise on Feyenoord and Ajax playing each other this weekend, we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
69.55% ( -0.06) | 18% ( 0.22) | 12.45% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( -1.47) | 39.71% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( -1.55) | 62.07% ( 1.55) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.69% ( -0.41) | 10.31% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.94) | 33.73% ( 0.94) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( -1.21) | 42.89% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.8% ( -1.04) | 79.2% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.42% Total : 69.54% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.45% |
How you voted: AZ vs Sittard
van Osch (27')
