Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 16, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 2
AZ

Rienstra (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beukema (14'), Sugawara (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-4 AZ Alkmaar

It is hard to see past anything other than an AZ Alkmaar victory in this particular match, with the squad being far stronger and the club having a lot more momentum. Fortuna Sittard might have the home advantage here, but the number of goals they are leaking in throughout the season will continue to plague them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
23.35%	23.79%	52.86%

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84%

47.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61%

69.39%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.2%

17.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.49%

48.51%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 23.35%

AZ Alkmaar 52.86%

Draw 23.78%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.53% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.35%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.42% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.86%