Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 27.1% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).