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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Aston Villa logo

Newcastle
vs.
Aston Villa

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Newcastle vs. Brentford
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Aston Villa vs. Man City
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 27.1% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
49.46% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46) 23.44% (-0.106 -0.11) 27.1% (0.56 0.56)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.869 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.924 0.92)42.3% (-0.93 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (0.916 0.92)64.71% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.17100000000001 0.17)17.25% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (0.306 0.31)47.57% (-0.312 -0.31)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.90000000000001 0.9)28.84% (-0.906 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (1.107 1.11)64.7% (-1.113 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 49.46%
    Aston Villa 27.1%
    Draw 23.44%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.1%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-3
Newcastle
Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
5-1
Aston Villa
Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')
Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')
Jul 24, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
3-3
Aston Villa
Anderson (28'), Isak (45'), Wilson (55')
Joelinton (87'), Burn (94')
Watkins (7'), Buendia (11', 48')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
3-0
Newcastle
Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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