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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
vs.
Newcastle

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-0 West Ham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United

As scintillating as Forest were against West Ham, they were aided by Edson Alvarez's red card on the stroke of the break, and an 11-man Newcastle side will provide a much sterner test. Regardless, we are struggling to back the Magpies to breach the Tricky Trees' resilient backline more than once, especially given their recent difficulties on the road, so it may be honours even at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 37.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
38.24% (0.238 0.24) 23.78% (-0.032 -0.03) 37.98% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 62.35% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (0.16 0.16)39.74% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (0.166 0.17)62.09% (-0.164 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.187 0.19)20.97% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.289 0.29)53.73% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)21.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.24%
    Newcastle United 37.98%
    Draw 23.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.98%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Nott'm Forest and Newcastle?

Nottingham Forest
Draw
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Newcastle United
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2024 8pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties)
Silva (50')
Silva (53'), Abbott (54'), Moreno (72'), Dominguez (77'), Sangare (88')
Willock (1')
Guimaraes (53'), Hall (67')
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Newcastle
Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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