Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.