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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Brighton & Hove Albion hold on for a hard-fought 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.1% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.99% (-0.101 -0.1) 46.91% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33)43.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (0.324 0.32)65.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.264 0.26)18.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.44 0.44)50.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 29.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%
    Draw 23.99%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
33.3%
Draw
28.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
37.7%
114
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Brighton
Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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