Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
Brighton

Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Felipe (4'), Navas (90+14')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Buonanotte (38')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 at the City Ground to move out of the Premier League relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
12.88% ( -0.04)	17.5% ( 0.06)	69.62% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.5% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.84% (

-0.43)

36.15% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.73% (

-0.47)

58.27% (

0.47)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11% (

-0.35)

39.88% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45% (

-0.32)

76.54% (

0.32)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.65% (

-0.11)

9.34% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.5% (

-0.27)

31.5% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 12.88%

Brighton & Hove Albion 69.62%

Draw 17.5%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 12.88%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5%	0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.62%