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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Newcastle

Dennis (26')
Dennis (22'), Gibbs-White (59'), Shelvey (90+2'), Navas (90+3'), Lodi (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Isak (45+2', 90+3' pen.)
Burn (33')

The Match

Match Report

A late Alexander Isak penalty earns Newcastle United three points at Nottingham Forest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
23.46% (0.585 0.59) 24.3% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 52.23% (-0.533 -0.53)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.84699999999999 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.783 0.78)49.21% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.701 0.7)71.27% (-0.703 -0.7)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.971 0.97)35.51% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72% (0.992 0.99)72.28% (-0.99199999999999 -0.99)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (0.092000000000013 0.09)18.81% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.153 0.15)50.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 23.46%
    Newcastle United 52.23%
    Draw 24.3%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.46%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.23%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
20.5%
Draw
16.4%
Newcastle United
63.1%
244
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Nott'm Forest
Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
Dumitru (29')
Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
Mills (60')
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Newcastle
Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
Ritchie (45')
Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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