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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Dean Court
Newcastle logo

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle

Senesi (30')
Smith (74'), Stephens (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Almiron (45+2')
Gordon (60'), Botman (87'), Joelinton (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Bournemouth hold top four-chasing Newcastle United to a 1-1 draw at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawNewcastle United
20.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 56.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.26% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.75% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.01100000000001 0.01)16.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)46.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 20.66%
    Newcastle United 56.3%
    Draw 23.03%
BournemouthDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.66%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 5.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 56.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Newcastle

Bournemouth
11.9%
Draw
13.3%
Newcastle United
74.8%
143
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
1-0
Bournemouth
Smith (67' og.)

Cook (47')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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