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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Dean Court
Newcastle logo

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle

Senesi (30')
Smith (74'), Stephens (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Almiron (45+2')
Gordon (60'), Botman (87'), Joelinton (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Bournemouth hold top four-chasing Newcastle United to a 1-1 draw at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawNewcastle United
20.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 56.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.26% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.75% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.01100000000001 0.01)16.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)46.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 20.66%
    Newcastle United 56.3%
    Draw 23.03%
BournemouthDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.66%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 5.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 56.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Newcastle

Bournemouth
11.9%
Draw
13.3%
Newcastle United
74.8%
143
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
1-0
Bournemouth
Smith (67' og.)

Cook (47')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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