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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Isak (67' pen.)
Joelinton (69'), Burn (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (62')
Christie (34'), Tavernier (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Bournemouth

Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
62.51% (0.46400000000001 0.46) 21.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 16.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.821 -0.82)46.1% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.784 -0.78)68.4% (0.779 0.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.124 -0.12)14.15% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.239 -0.24)41.82% (0.235 0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-1.081 -1.08)41.45% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-0.965 -0.97)77.96% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.51%
    Bournemouth 16.24%
    Draw 21.24%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
87.9%
Draw
7.2%
Bournemouth
4.9%
264
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
Smith (80'), Gosling (89')
Ake (52')
Gayle (17', 45')
Ritchie (53'), Yedlin (82'), Diame (85'), Perez (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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