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Norwich logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Bournemouth logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Hugill (22'), Idah (83')
Gibbs (52')
FT
(aet)
Marcondes (43'), Genesini (90+2')
Greenwood (8')
Bournemouth win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Norwich City 1-2 Bournemouth

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting an entertaining contest on Tuesday evening. It would certainly not be a surprise to see Norwich triumph, but we have a feeling that Bournemouth will just about have enough to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawBournemouth
45.86% (0.058 0.06) 24.76% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.38% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)46.72% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.99% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)29.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)65.48% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.86%
    Bournemouth 29.38%
    Draw 24.75%
Norwich CityDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bournemouth

Norwich City
45.1%
Draw
20.7%
Bournemouth
34.1%
82
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Norwich
6-0
Bournemouth
Tzolis (12', 66'), McLean (26'), Rupp (33'), Sargent (49', 75')
Zimmermann (80')

Kilkenny (50'), Camp (55')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
Norwich
1-3
Bournemouth
Buendia (5')
Krul (52'), McLean (58'), Skipp (90+1')
Giannoulis (17')
Surridge (50'), Danjuma (57'), Kelly (76')
Lerma (35'), Smith (59'), Brooks (70')
Sep 27, 2020 4pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
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