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EFL Cup
Norwich logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Birmingham

Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
FT
(aet)
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship

Birmingham City

Last Six:
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Huddersfield
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

 Norwich will undoubtedly be the more fired up of the two sides after the weekend's perceived injustice and spate of injuries, and their recent spate of results against Birmingham makes for positive reading. The Blues would do well to exploit the wide areas, with Norwich suffering the most in that area, but we have faith in the Canaries to finally kickstart their season and give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
41.02% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 33.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)49.68% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.97% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)58.21% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.02%
    Birmingham City 33.2%
    Draw 25.78%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.02%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.2%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
91.9%
Birmingham City
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Norwich
Maghoma (56'), Solomon-Otabor (89')
Hernandez (83', 90')
Hernandez (84'), Marshall (86'), McLean (86')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Norwich

Kieftenbeld (45')
Pritchard (33'), Murphy (71')
Zimmermann (52'), Murphy (79')
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