EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 2
Birmingham

Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')

FT
(aet)

Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')

Norwich win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Middlesbrough	2	-1	1
21	Norwich City	2	-1	1
22	Swansea City	2	-3	1

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Huddersfield
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sunderland	2	1	4
3	Birmingham City	2	1	4
4	Burnley	2	1	4

We say: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich will undoubtedly be the more fired up of the two sides after the weekend's perceived injustice and spate of injuries, and their recent spate of results against Birmingham makes for positive reading. The Blues would do well to exploit the wide areas, with Norwich suffering the most in that area, but we have faith in the Canaries to finally kickstart their season and give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
41.02% ( -0.05)	25.78% ( 0.01)	33.2% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.32% (

-0.04)

49.68% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

-0.03)

71.7% (

0.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

-0.04)

23.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

-0.06)

58.21% (

0.06)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

0.01)

28.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

0.01)

64.16% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 41.02%

Birmingham City 33.2%

Draw 25.78%

Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.02%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.2%