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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

Last Six:
    Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Real Sociedad
    Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Aston Villa

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
      Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

       Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

      Result
      BournemouthDrawAston Villa
      27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
      Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
      Bournemouth Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
      Aston Villa Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
      Score Analysis
          Bournemouth 27.63%
          Aston Villa 47.63%
          Draw 24.73%
      BournemouthDrawAston Villa
      1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
      2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
      2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
      3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
      3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
      3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
      Other @ 2.87%
      Total : 27.63%
      		1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
      0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
      2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
      3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
      Other @ 0.14%
      Total : 24.73%
      		0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
      1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
      0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
      1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
      0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
      2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
      1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
      0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
      2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
      Other @ 2.85%
      Total : 47.63%

      How you voted: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

      Bournemouth
      15.3%
      Draw
      12.0%
      Aston Villa
      72.7%
      300
      Head to Head
      Feb 1, 2020 3pm
      Bournemouth
      2-1
      Aston Villa
      > Match Report
      Aug 17, 2019 3pm
      Aston Villa
      1-2
      Bournemouth
      > Match Report
      Apr 9, 2016 3pm
      Aston Villa
      1-2
      Bournemouth
      > Match Report
      Aug 8, 2015 3pm
      Bournemouth
      0-1
      Aston Villa
      > Match Report
      Jan 25, 2015 3pm
      Aston Villa
      2-1
      Bournemouth
      > Match Report
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
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      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool119112161528
      2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
      3Chelsea115422113819
      4Arsenal115421812619
      5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
      6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
      7Fulham115331613318
      8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
      9Aston Villa115331717018
      10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
      11Brentford115152222016
      12Bournemouth114341515015
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
      15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
      16Everton112451017-710
      17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
      18Crystal Palace11146815-77
      19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
      20Southampton11119721-144
      > Premier League Full Table


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