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Premier League | Gameweek 18
May 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Burnley logo

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Burnley

Buendia (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barnes (45' pen.)
Long (55')
Lowton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley

Villa have not beaten Burnley at Villa Park since October 2010, but the home side have shown excellent form under Gerrard, and we are expecting a Villa victory on Saturday afternoon, albeit by a close scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBurnley
49.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)53.37% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.01700000000001 0.02)21.53% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)54.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35%36.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 49.61%
    Burnley 24.75%
    Draw 25.62%
Aston VillaDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Burnley

Aston Villa
71.6%
Draw
18.1%
Burnley
10.3%
465
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Burnley
1-3
Aston Villa
Cornet (90+1')
Brownhill (69')
Ings (7'), Buendia (31'), Watkins (52')
Digne (21'), Watkins (45+1')
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Burnley
3-2
Aston Villa
Mee (52'), McNeil (76'), Wood (79')
Tarkowski (22')
Watkins (14'), Grealish (68')
Dec 17, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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