Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
49.62% ( 0.02) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( 0.02) | 53.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( 0.02) | 74.91% ( -0.01) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( 0.02) | 21.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( 0.02) | 54.6% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% | 36.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0) | 73.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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