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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace will enter this match full of confidence, but Villa had also been on a strong run before the setback against Liverpool. There is not an awful lot between the two teams, demonstrated by the league table, and we can see the pair playing out a low-scoring draw on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
43.05% (0.756 0.76) 25.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 31.06% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.81% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.7% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.39099999999999 0.39)23.46% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.565 0.57)57.47% (-0.569 -0.57)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)30.38% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.534 -0.53)66.57% (0.532 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 43.05%
    Crystal Palace 31.06%
    Draw 25.89%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
58.5%
Draw
27.2%
Crystal Palace
14.3%
147
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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