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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Jul 12, 2020 at 2.15pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Crystal Palace

Trezeguet (45+4', 59')
Mings (27'), Luiz (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zaha (27'), Sakho (27'), Kouyate (54'), Milivojevic (67')

The Match

Match Report

Dean Smith's side are four points from safety with three games remaining.

Team News

Pepe Reina should be fit to face Crystal Palace.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
40.33%25.84%33.83%
Both teams to score 54.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21%49.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21%71.79%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22%58.78%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95%28.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29%63.71%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.33%
    Crystal Palace 33.83%
    Draw 25.83%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.83%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
5Chelsea105322012818
6Arsenal105321711618
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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