Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.