Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de France
France2 - 0Croatia
The Match
Match Report
France are through to the UEFA Nations League semi-finals thanks to a 5-4 penalty-shootout win over Croatia following a 2-2 aggregate draw at the Stade de France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between France and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final second leg against Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Belgium | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%).
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Croatia |
54.83% ( -0.11) | 22.58% ( 0.03) | 22.59% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.06) | 42.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( -0.06) | 65.08% ( 0.06) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.05) | 15.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.11) | 44.36% ( 0.11) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.03) | 32.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.76% ( 0.04) | 69.23% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
France 54.83%
Croatia 22.59%
Draw 22.57%
| France | Draw | Croatia |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 22.59% |
How you voted: France vs Croatia
France
75.9%Draw
7.6%Croatia
16.6%145
Form Guide
Build-up
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France head coach Didier Deschamps plays down concerns that Liverpool's Ibrahima Konate suffered an injury in Thursday's UEFA Nations League loss to Croatia.
9 days ago
France lineup vs. Croatia: Predicted XI for UEFA Nations League clash as Ibrahima Konate dropped
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final second leg against Croatia.
9 days ago
