The Match
Match Report
Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Thursday's Nations League clash between Croatia and France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Croatia and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash with Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Scotland | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Poland | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for France had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | France |
41.47% ( -0.05) | 26.45% ( 0.04) | 32.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% ( -0.17) | 52.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% ( -0.14) | 74.38% ( 0.13) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.1) | 25.11% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.19% ( -0.14) | 59.81% ( 0.14) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.08) | 30.66% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.09) | 66.9% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Croatia 41.46%
France 32.08%
Draw 26.44%
| Croatia | Draw | France |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.08% |
How you voted: Croatia vs France
Croatia
15.4%Draw
12.7%France
71.9%292
Form Guide
