UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de France

France
4 - 2
Croatia

Griezmann (43'), Livakovic (45+1' og.), Upamecano (65'), Giroud (77' pen.)
Lenglet (38'), Kante (59'), N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lovren (17'), Brekalo (55')
Caleta-Car (34'), Brozovic (76'), Lovren (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between France and Croatia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up in Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Croatia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Croatia
53.81%	24.22%	21.97%

Both teams to score 50.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61%

50.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67%

72.33%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35%

18.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03%

49.97%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43%

37.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65%

74.35%

Score Analysis

France 53.8%

Croatia 21.97%

Draw 24.21%

France	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.8%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.97%