The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Italy and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | France | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 5 | -9 | 1 |
We say: Italy 1-1 France
In spite of its high profile as a standalone fixture, this clash could peter out into a low-scoring draw due to the surrounding circumstances. Both teams are already through to the quarter-finals - and Italy are in pole position to top Group 2 - so avoiding injury will be upmost in some players' minds before heading back to club football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for France has a probability of 29.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest France win is 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | France |
45.69% ( -0.05) | 25.11% ( 0.28) | 29.2% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
