MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:09:03| >> :600:489955:489955:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
South Africa national football team

Uganda
vs.
South Africa

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Uganda and South Africa.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Uganda has a probability of 28.34% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Uganda win is 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
UgandaDrawSouth Africa
28.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 27.8% (0.333 0.33) 43.85% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81% (-1.195 -1.2)59.18% (1.189 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (-0.932 -0.93)79.61% (0.92699999999999 0.93)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.684 -0.68)36.8% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (-0.687 -0.69)73.58% (0.681 0.68)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)26.82% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.938 -0.94)62.11% (0.932 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 28.34%
    South Africa 43.85%
    Draw 27.8%
UgandaDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.259 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.34%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.435 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 12.98% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.85%

Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
2-2
Uganda
Foster (14'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (9'), Mudau (45+3'), Foster (88')
Omedi (51'), Mato (54')
Kayondo (59'), Ojera (90')
Jun 10, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
3-2
Uganda
Makgopa (62', 83'), Hlongwane (67')
Orit (17'), Abdu (89')
Lwanga (42'), Willa (86')
rhs 2.0
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