MX23RW : Monday, November 25 18:12:47| >> :60:146:146:
South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Al Salam Stadium

South Africa
1 - 0
Eswatini

Sibanyoni (3')
Brooks (51'), Velebayi (76'), Langa Thikazi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mavuso (45+3'), Gamedze (56')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Botswana
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Eswatini
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawEswatini
59.82% (-1.386 -1.39) 25.6% (0.997 1) 14.57% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 35.52% (-1.373 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.92% (-2.376 -2.38)64.08% (2.379 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76% (-1.724 -1.72)83.24% (1.726 1.73)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-1.52 -1.52)21.69% (1.522 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-2.378 -2.38)54.84% (2.381 2.38)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.36% (-0.854 -0.85)54.64% (0.857 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.34% (-0.524 -0.52)87.66% (0.52600000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 59.82%
    Eswatini 14.57%
    Draw 25.6%
South AfricaDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 18.11% (0.75 0.75)
2-0 @ 13.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-0 @ 7.05% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.34 -0.34)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 59.82%
0-0 @ 11.85% (1.01 1.01)
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.436 0.44)
1-2 @ 3.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.57%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 5pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
0-0
Eswatini
Mthethwa (80')
Mabelesa (77')
Jul 11, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
2-1
Eswatini
Mabaso (76', 88')
Mohamme (32'), Barr (90+1')
Owa Matsebula (51')
Msibi (61'), Dlamini (78'), Mabelesa (85'), Matse (90+1')
Jul 8, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
South Africa
1-0
Eswatini
Sibanyoni (59')
Mkhulise (42'), Sibanyoni (88')

Badenhorst (27'), Mamba (36'), Mkhwanazi (90+3')
Badenhorst (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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