World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Nigeria1 - 1South Africa
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Algeria 3-3 South Africa
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa
While Nigeria have been the dominant side in this fixture, South Africa have closed the gap to them in the last couple of years and showed that during the AFCON, where it took penalties to find a winner when these sides met. We are expecting another closely contested matchup this Friday and feel there will be nothing to separate these two African powerhouses at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | South Africa |
56.83% ( -0.34) | 25.14% ( 0.16) | 18.03% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.54% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.7% ( -0.33) | 58.3% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( -0.26) | 78.92% ( 0.26) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -0.27) | 20.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.43) | 53.04% ( 0.42) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.53% ( 0.02) | 46.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.91% ( 0.02) | 82.08% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Nigeria 56.82%
South Africa 18.03%
Draw 25.13%
| Nigeria | Draw | South Africa |
| 1-0 @ 15.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.03% |
How you voted: Nigeria vs South Africa
Nigeria
69.2%Draw
15.4%South Africa
15.4%52
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 5pm
Jul 10, 2019 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Nigeria
2-1
South Africa
Form Guide
