MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:41:31| >> :120:5672:5672:
Zimbabwe national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Huye
Nigeria national football team

Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Nigeria

Musona (26')
Dube (46'), Nakamba (56'), Dube (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iheanacho (67')
Bassey (45'), Collins (87'), Sadiq (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zimbabwe and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Zimbabwe 0-2 Nigeria

In their final outing before the Africa Cup of Nations takes centre stage in January, Nigeria will be looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. The Super Eagles boast a superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to return to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 0-3 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
ZimbabweDrawNigeria
9.29% (-0.2451 -0.25) 16.78% (-0.214 -0.21) 73.93% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 44% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.184 0.18)43.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.182 0.18)65.58% (-0.181 -0.18)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.96% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)51.04% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (-0.273 -0.27)85.37% (0.273 0.27)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (0.164 0.16)10.14% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.66% (0.375 0.38)33.34% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Zimbabwe 9.29%
    Nigeria 73.92%
    Draw 16.78%
ZimbabweDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 3.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 2.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 9.29%
1-1 @ 7.96% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.78%
0-2 @ 13.55% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.34% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.92% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.98% (0.033 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.82% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 73.92%

How you voted: Zimbabwe vs Nigeria

Zimbabwe
25.0%
Draw
15.6%
Nigeria
59.4%
32
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Nigeria
0-0
Zimbabwe
Etebo (73')
Feb 1, 2014 3pm
Third-Place Playoff
Zimbabwe
0-1
Nigeria
rhs 2.0
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