Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.75%) and 3-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.02%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.