World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Ethiopia1 - 0Zimbabwe
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ethiopia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 51.11% | 25.73% | 23.15% |
| Both teams to score 47.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
