MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 23:21:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Nash (14')
Greenidge (40'), Phillips (43'), Terry (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

German (52'), Howe (79')
Howe (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawHemel Hempstead Town
42.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.56%30.46%
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)75.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63%59.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 42.98%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 30.46%
    Draw 26.56%
AFC HornchurchDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.46%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Truro CityTruro City19114433171637
2Weston-super-MareWeston18114333191437
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd199732618834
4Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1910452825334
5Dorking WanderersDorking2096542301233
6Farnborough TownFarnborough1910363227533
7Slough TownSlough1994636231331
8Worthing188552729-229
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Chesham UnitedChesham168352923627
11Maidstone UnitedMaidstone176832319426
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch187561818026
13Hampton & RichmondHampton187472519625
14Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels166732217525
15Chippenham TownChippenham197482422225
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2064102640-1422
18Welling UnitedWelling United1962112136-1520
19Bath City1954101426-1219
20Salisbury174582228-617
21Aveley1842122333-1014
22St Albans CitySt Albans City1826101931-1212
23Weymouth1826101226-1412
24Enfield Town1832131740-2311


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