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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (72'), Pring (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both sides have made strong starts to the 2024-25 season, but the hosts have been formidable at home, yet to lose any of their seven league games, and we believe the hosts will extend that run with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
44.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 26.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 28.6% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)54.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.117 0.12)34.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.128 0.13)70.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.86%
    Bristol City 28.6%
    Draw 26.52%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.4%
Draw
8.2%
Bristol City
16.4%
61
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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