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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
30.98% ( -0.16) | 26.33% ( -0.02) | 42.69% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.37% ( 0.03) | 52.63% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( 0.03) | 74.28% ( -0.02) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( -0.1) | 31.36% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( -0.11) | 67.72% ( 0.11) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% ( 0.11) | 24.44% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% ( 0.15) | 58.87% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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