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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Bristol City

Preston
1 - 2
Bristol City

Evans (61')
Storey (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sykes (6'), Bell (45+3')
James (50'), Wells (63'), Cornick (70'), Scott (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Bristol City

Both of these teams have been unpredictable all season and it makes it difficult to predict a result with any confidence. That said, we can only back the visitors, who have momentum after outplaying in-form West Brom in the FA Cup last weekend and are performing better on their travels than Preston are at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
41.29% (-1.15 -1.15) 26.11% (-0.152 -0.15) 32.6% (1.302 1.3)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.961 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (1.02 1.02)51.23% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.887 0.89)73.06% (-0.887 -0.89)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.128 -0.13)24.53% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.181 -0.18)58.99% (0.182 0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (1.39 1.39)29.55% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.664 1.66)65.57% (-1.663 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.28%
    Bristol City 32.6%
    Draw 26.1%
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Preston vs Bristol City

Preston North End
36.9%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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