FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea1 - 2Bristol City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City
Both teams will enter this match off the back of impressive Championship wins, and we are expecting Tuesday's contest to be a close affair. It would certainly not be a shock to see Bristol City triumph, but we have a feeling that Swansea will be able to navigate their way to a victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
51.7% ( -0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.01) | 24.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
