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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
25.41% ( 1.19) | 25.7% ( 0.6) | 48.88% ( -1.79) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( -1.42) | 53.17% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( -1.21) | 74.73% ( 1.21) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.27) | 35.96% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.27) | 72.74% ( -0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( -1.34) | 21.77% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( -2.08) | 54.96% ( 2.08) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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