MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:17:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Reading logo

Watford
2 - 0
Reading

Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34'), Sema (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ejaria (38'), Rahman (73'), N'Diaye (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-0 Reading

As much as Reading supporters are currently enjoying the season, they never know what they are going to get from the Royals. With Watford, you do, especially at home, and we are predicting a narrow victory for the Hornets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawReading
60.96% (-0.43 -0.43) 22.45% (0.052 0.05) 16.58% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.28% (0.603 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.399 0.4)50.47% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.352 0.35)72.39% (-0.358 -0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)45.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36% (0.722 0.72)43.63% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (0.594 0.59)79.82% (-0.599 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Watford 60.96%
    Reading 16.58%
    Draw 22.44%
WatfordDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 11.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 60.96%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 16.58%

How you voted: Watford vs Reading

Watford
81.3%
Draw
11.0%
Reading
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
rhs 2.0
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5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
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11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
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14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
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22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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