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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
2 - 1
Norwich

Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Kamara (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sargent (45')
Aarons (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Watford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Norwich City

Both sides have a host of attacking quality which suggests this clash could be an entertaining one between two promotion-chasing clubs. Norwich have had the better start to the season but you expect Watford to move up the table as Slaven Bilic puts his imprint onto his team, which could start with a point at home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.6% (-0.029 -0.03) 45.99% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (0.10299999999999 0.1)55.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.53% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)35.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.090999999999994 0.09)58.26% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 27.41%
    Norwich City 45.98%
    Draw 26.6%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 12.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
30.0%
Draw
19.1%
Norwich City
50.9%
110
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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