We said: Watford 2-1 Norwich City
Watford are certainly capable of pulling off big results, especially at home, and we just have a feeling for the Hornets here. Norwich will have been boosted by their impressive victory at Everton, but we are expecting Ranieri's side to collect all three points on Friday courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.