MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 10:10:59| >> :600:546447:546447:
Leicester logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Watford logo

Leicester
4 - 1
Watford

Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pedro (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Watford

Both sides are dealing with absentees in the double figures and may feel that they have bigger fish to fry regarding the Premier League, but Leicester will not turn their noses up at another memorable cup run. Watford are not exactly renowned for their performances on the King Power turf and ended 2021 in the worst way possible, so we expect a comfortable route into round four for the defending champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
50.73%23.06%26.21%
Both teams to score 59.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73%41.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6%16.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95%46.05%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16%64.85%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 50.73%
    Watford 26.21%
    Draw 23.06%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 26.21%

How you voted: Leicester vs Watford

Leicester City
86.4%
Draw
7.4%
Watford
6.2%
81
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Mar 3, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Deeney (5'), Gray (92')
Mariappa (13'), Capoue (60'), Doucoure (61'), Deeney (62'), Gray (93')
Vardy (75')
Pereira (84')
Dec 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 14
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (12' pen.), Maddison (23')
Albrighton (62'), Maddison (90')

Success (85')
Capoue (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!