Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 5, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leicester

Konsa (17', 54')
Nakamba (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barnes (14')
Maddison (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Leicester City

Both of these sides will believe that they should be higher up the league table at this stage, and it is a very important match in the context of their seasons. A case can be made for a home or an away win, but we just have a feeling that a tight match between two good teams will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
28.31%	25.53%	46.16%

Both teams to score 52.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4%

50.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49%

72.51%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75%

32.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25%

68.75%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09%

21.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83%

55.17%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 28.31%

Leicester City 46.15%

Draw 25.53%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 8% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.31%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.15%