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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man City

Watkins (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dias (27'), Silva (43')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester City

City may have produced a number of goal-laden performances against Villa down the years, but this will be no cakewalk for the champions as the Gerrard revolution aims to gather momentum. Guardiola's hand may be forced in a fatigued attack, but the visitors should still have enough to take all three points back to the Etihad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
12.66%18.53%68.81%
Both teams to score 49.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34%41.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94%64.06%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97%11.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.65%35.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 12.66%
    Manchester City 68.8%
    Draw 18.53%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 3.99%
2-1 @ 3.63%
2-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.1%
3-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 12.66%
1-1 @ 8.79%
0-0 @ 4.83%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 18.53%
0-2 @ 11.74%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-3 @ 8.63%
1-3 @ 7.12%
0-4 @ 4.76%
1-4 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 2.1%
1-5 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 68.8%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
18.9%
Draw
10.8%
Manchester City
70.4%
334
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 1
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
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Jan 12, 2020 4.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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