Man City

2 - 0

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.