Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City2 - 0Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Both sides were missing key players following positive Covid-19 tests.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for their Premier League showdown with Newcastle United on Boxing Day.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Newcastle United on Boxing Day.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 83.42% | 11% | 5.59% |
| Both teams to score 47.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.35% | 28.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.43% | 49.57% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.05% | 4.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.17% | 19.83% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.76% | 50.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.17% | 84.83% |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 83.41%
Newcastle United 5.59%
Draw 11%
| Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 3-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 11.24% 4-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.76% 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.48% 4-1 @ 5.83% 5-0 @ 5.1% 5-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.67% 6-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 1.21% 7-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.74% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 2.66% 0-0 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.7% Total : 11% | 1-2 @ 1.77% 0-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.59% |
How you voted: Man City vs Newcastle
Manchester City
80.0%Draw
10.3%Newcastle United
9.7%155
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 34
Man City
5-0
Newcastle
Jun 28, 2020 6.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Newcastle
0-2
Man City
Nov 30, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
2-2
Man City
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 24
Newcastle
2-1
Man City
Sep 1, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Man City
2-1
Newcastle
Form Guide
Build-up
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