Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelsea in this match.