MX23RW : Wednesday, March 26 06:33:34| >> :120:40034:40034:
Scotland national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Hampden Park
Greece national football team

Scotland
0 - 3
Greece


Ferguson (61'), Hirst (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Konstantelias (20'), Karetsas (42'), Tzolis (46')
Pavlidis (69'), Mouzakitis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Scotland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Scotland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Scotland 1-1 Greece

Scotland will be confident as they return to Hampden Park with a 1-0 lead, but Greece must not be underestimated, as they have won all of their last four matches away from home. However, Scotland's home advantage will certainly have an affect, and while we believe Greece will breach their defence, we ultimately expect the spoils to be shared and the hosts to secure their place in League A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawGreece
29.27% (0.418 0.42) 26.58% (0.11 0.11) 44.14% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.235 -0.23)54.32% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.197 -0.2)75.71% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.19200000000001 0.19)33.47% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.209 0.21)70.1% (-0.206 -0.21)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.36 -0.36)24.46% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.511 -0.51)58.91% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 29.27%
    Greece 44.13%
    Draw 26.58%
ScotlandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.27%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: Scotland vs Greece

Scotland
Draw
Greece
Scotland
58.0%
Draw
16.1%
Greece
25.9%
112
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Playoffs A/B 1st Leg
Greece
0-1
Scotland

Siopis (64')
McTominay (33' pen.)
Ferguson (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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