MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:38:12| >> :600:995983:995983:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Croatia national football team

Scotland
1 - 0
Croatia

McGinn (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sucic (30'), Caleta-Car (41'), Kramaric (44')
Sucic (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Croatia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Poland 3-3 Croatia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Scotland 1-1 Croatia

 Croatia can afford to play with a certain amount of freedom, as qualification is within their own hands, while Scotland are feeling the weight of public expectation. Performances have improved, but the Tartan Army may have to wait a while longer to celebrate an elusive home win, given their opponents' combination of guile and steel. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawCroatia
23.71% (-0.353 -0.35) 24.48% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 51.81% (0.407 0.41)
Both teams to score 52.08% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.121 -0.12)49.71% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.108 -0.11)71.72% (0.114 0.11)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.384 -0.38)35.56% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.399 -0.4)72.33% (0.404 0.4)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.116 0.12)19.17% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (0.188 0.19)50.83% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 23.71%
    Croatia 51.81%
    Draw 24.48%
ScotlandDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.64% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 11.26% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.3% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.81%

How you voted: Scotland vs Croatia

Scotland
24.6%
Draw
19.0%
Croatia
56.4%
211
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 5pm
League A
Croatia
2-1
Scotland
Matanovic (36'), Kramaric (70')
Pasalic (19'), Perisic (39')
Christie (33')
Hanley (8'), Gilmour (90+4')
> Match Report
Jun 22, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
3-1
Scotland
Vlasic (17'), Modric (62'), Perisic (77')
Lovren (26')
McGregor (42')
McKenna (34')
> Match Report
Oct 15, 2013 8pm
Qualifiers
Scotland
2-0
Croatia
> Match Report
Jun 7, 2013 7.15pm
Qualifiers
Croatia
0-1
Scotland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!