Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 20, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Grant (62')
Livermore (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Ghazi (5', 88' pen.), Traore (84')
Hause (40'), Mings (66')

Sam Allardyce considering captaincy change at West Bromwich Albion

Sam Allardyce lost his first game in charge of West Brom as Jake Livermore was sent off in a 3-0 defeat to Aston Villa.

Dec 20, 23:18

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
33.89%	25.34%	40.77%

Both teams to score 56.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41%

47.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.79%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83%

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94%

57.06%

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 33.89%

Aston Villa 40.77%

Draw 25.33%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.89%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.77%