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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Aston Villa logo

West Brom
0 - 3
Aston Villa


Grant (62')
Livermore (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ghazi (5', 88' pen.), Traore (84')
Hause (40'), Mings (66')

The Match

Match Report

Anwar El Ghazi scored twice in a comfortable derby win as Jake Livermore was sent off.

Team News

The Brazilian winger completes a three-match ban.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
33.89%25.34%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 33.89%
    Aston Villa 40.77%
    Draw 25.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.89%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.77%

How you voted: West Brom vs Aston Villa

West Bromwich Albion
25.3%
Draw
9.6%
Aston Villa
65.1%
146
Head to Head
May 14, 2019 8pm
Semi-Finals
West Brom
1-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa win 4-3 on penalties
May 11, 2019 12.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
0-2
West Brom

Mings (31'), Hause (38'), McGinn (51')
Robson-Kanu (41'), Rodriguez (45')
Holgate (29'), Barry (43')
Dec 7, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 21
West Brom
2-2
Aston Villa
Gayle (28'), Rodriguez (90')
Livermore (61'), Hegazy (63')
El Ghazi (12', 59')
Whelan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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