Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.36% | 25.98% | 30.66% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.67% | 51.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% | 73.15% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% | 23.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% | 57.58% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.21% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3% Total : 30.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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