Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 3.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 4-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
88.85% ( -0.71) | 7.81% ( 0.43) | 3.34% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 43.79% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.72% ( -0.58) | 23.29% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.36% ( -0.78) | 42.65% ( 0.79) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.78% ( -0.18) | 3.23% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.7% ( -0.64) | 14.3% ( 0.64) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.24% ( 1.01) | 54.76% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.26% ( 0.59) | 87.74% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
3-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.11) 7-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.44% Total : 88.84% | 1-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 7.81% | 1-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.18% Total : 3.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |