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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 89.57%. A draw has a probability of 7.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle has a probability of 3.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 3-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (10.52%) and 2-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.46%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it is 1-2 (1.01%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
89.57% ( 0.85) | 7.38% ( -0.47) | 3.05% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 42.85% ( -1.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.27% ( 0.09) | 22.73% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.11% ( 0.12) | 41.89% ( -0.12) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.95% ( 0.13) | 3.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.32% ( 0.45) | 13.67% ( -0.45) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.19% ( -1.97) | 55.8% ( 1.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.64% ( -1.19) | 88.35% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
3-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.28) 6-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 7-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 89.55% | 1-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 7.38% | 1-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.06% Total : 3.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |