MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:58:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
PSV

Ajax
3 - 2
PSV

Klaassen (43'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Godts (74')
Brobbey (70'), Berghuis (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (18'), Perisic (54')
Flamingo (23'), Karsdorp (76'), de Jong (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 6-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

 Despite PSV missing Veerman's creativity at Ajax, the defending champions have so much attacking firepower to unpick Farioli's men. Thus, we back the visiting side to continue their winning run at the expense of their rivals in Saturday's De Topper clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
45.14% (0.51 0.51) 22.61% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 32.24% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 65.38% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.77% (0.258 0.26)35.23% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.75% (0.285 0.28)57.24% (-0.292 -0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.291 0.29)16.16% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37% (0.533 0.53)45.62% (-0.54 -0.54)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.114 -0.11)22.01% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.167 -0.17)55.33% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 45.14%
    PSV Eindhoven 32.24%
    Draw 22.61%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.043 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
23.7%
Draw
23.7%
PSV Eindhoven
52.7%
93
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
1-1
PSV
Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
De Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
> Match Report
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
(Aggregate 1-1 | PSV win 3-2 on penalties)
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
> Match Report
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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