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Champions League header

Champions League
PSV
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Sporting Lisbon

PSV
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Schouten (15')
Junior (22'), Tillman (64'), Lang (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Braganca (84')
Tcherno Quenda (53'), Braganca (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Sporting Lisbon

 Two dominant sides domestically meet here in a very close encounter that is hard to call, but with great attacking quality on both sides, it is likely to produce goals. PSV need a result, ideally a win, after their opening defeat, but Sporting are many people's dark horse for this season's competition, and will provide a stern challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSporting Lisbon
39.87% (-0.443 -0.44) 24.98% (0.099 0.1) 35.14% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-0.402 -0.4)45.74% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-0.383 -0.38)68.06% (0.381 0.38)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)22.81% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (-0.588 -0.59)56.52% (0.585 0.59)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 39.87%
    Sporting Lisbon 35.15%
    Draw 24.97%
PSV EindhovenDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.095 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: PSV vs Sporting Lisbon

PSV Eindhoven
31.8%
Draw
29.6%
Sporting Lisbon
38.6%
267
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
PSV
Phellype (9'), Fernandes (16', 64' pen.), Mathieu (43')
Fernandes (22'), Bolasie (34'), Ilori (84')

Rosario (32')
Sep 19, 2019 5.55pm
Group Stage
PSV
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Malen (19'), Coates (25' og.), Baumgartl (48')
Rosario (12')
Fernandes (38' pen.), Mendes (82')
Doumbia (30'), Acuna (44'), Fernandes (53'), Neto (85'), Cabral (94')
rhs 2.0
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